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What it means for IPO market, SoftBank

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Billionaire Masayoshi Son, chairman and chief executive officer of SoftBank Group Corp., speaks in front of a screen displaying the ARM Holdings logo during a news conference in Tokyo on July 28, 2016.

Tomohiro Ohsumi | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Arm, which is owned by SoftBank, is expected to file for its initial public offering as soon as Monday, according to reports. The firm’s stock market debut will be a major test for the IPO market, which has more or less closed off from new listings due to rising interest rates which have hammered appetite for risky assets in the last year or so.

Arm is one of the most important companies in technology. Its chip designs found in nearly all the world’s smartphones, including Apple iPhones and most Android devices. Its debut will be a big deal for an IPO market that’s been in the doldrums since 2022, but the company’s listing has big implications for SoftBank as well.

SoftBank has been attempting to bounce back from a grim tech market by reining in on its growth-focused investments and pivoting its focus to artificial intelligence, the hot topic of the hour in tech.

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In the U.K., which has sought to boost its domestic chip industry through up to £1 billion ($1.3 billion) in investments, Arm is seen as strategically important.

The change of the company’s ownership to foreign hands is seen as a thorny topic for the domestic tech industry, not least due to concerns that it undermines the U.K.’s “tech sovereignty,” an issue that has cropped up throughout Europe as officials look to reduce dependence on technology from the U.S. and other nations.

The government had pushed aggressively for Arm to list in London, however the company opted to go with New York for its debut instead, dealing a blow to the London stock exchange.

Testing a choppy IPO market

SoftBank is pushing ahead with a listing of Arm even as U.S. markets have been in an unsteady state. Technology valuations have fallen sharply from the peak of the 2021 tech boom.

That year, shares of newly minted public companies such as Palantir and UiPath rose to seismic levels as investors grew excited by their growth prospects in the boom times.

Arm filed confidentially for a listing in the U.S. earlier this year. It’s not yet clear what valuation SoftBank is seeking for Arm, however reports have pegged the prospective market value at between $60 billion and $70 billion.

As well as being a bellwether for the chip industry, Arm plays a role in the AI space — and is increasingly touting itself as an AI company. Investors will be watching out for the company’s S-1 filing to see how it sees the technology benefiting its business over time.

In May, Arm unveiled two new chipsets targeted at machine learning applications. One, a new CPU called Cortex-4, is a chipset that delivers faster machine-learning performance and consumes 40% less power than its predecessor, according to Arm. The other, a GPU called G720, offers better performance and uses up 22% less memory bandwidth than its predecessor, Arm said.

“Arm remains committed to developing and testing our GPUs against new applications for machine learning (ML),” the company said in a May 29 blog post announcing the products.

High-powered chips such as those offered by Nvidia and AMD are crucial to AI applications, which require lots of computing power to run smoothly. Earlier this month, Nvidia unveiled its new Grace Hopper chip for generative AI applications, which is based on Arm architecture.

SoftBank is banking on the growth in AI to lift the prospects of its Vision Fund, which has flagged in tandem with souring bets on firms like WeWork, China’s ride-hailing giant Didi Global, and Uber, the latter of which the Vision Fund has since shed its holdings.

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SoftBank’s CFO Yoshimitsu Goto said during the company’s June quarter earnings call that the company has been “carefully and slowly emerging back to investment activity,” with a focus on AI investments.

SoftBank said its Vision Fund booked an investment gain of 159.8 billion yen, its first gain in five consecutive quarters. SoftBank said the fund mainly benefited from investments in its own subsidiaries — including Arm.

That still came after SoftBank’s Vision Fund reported a record 4.3 trillion yen loss in the fiscal year ending Mar. 31.

The Japanese tech giant has been starting to talk up its investments in AI recently. In July, the company led a $65 million investment in U.K. insurance technology company Tractable.

– CNBC’s Kif Leswing contributed to this story.

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